Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 24.162742 27.185344 30.373294 33.979747 37.939659 42.148577 46.953760
2024-12-15 20.566972 24.869404 29.677523 35.423945 42.078463 49.515079 58.426127
2024-12-22 17.280282 22.354989 28.338293 35.854778 44.981315 55.637168 68.947614
2024-12-29 15.486953 21.307486 28.509905 37.966407 49.931865 64.436436 83.201358
2025-01-05 13.435775 19.633805 27.670830 38.676511 53.151105 71.316283 95.581511
2025-01-12 11.156569 17.330761 25.721839 37.699630 54.056234 75.277393 104.498069
2025-01-19 9.236513 15.241698 23.786644 36.481522 54.446615 78.491643 112.543663
2025-01-26 8.478822 14.725137 23.961785 38.144810 58.807657 87.165923 128.236330
2025-02-02 8.230089 14.938384 25.190458 41.378595 65.543357 99.404832 149.357852
2025-02-09 7.660694 14.558229 25.463922 43.181815 70.287907 109.070434 167.341362
2025-02-16 6.847570 13.661612 24.826792 43.510838 72.825853 115.668410 181.244084
2025-02-23 5.952161 12.496722 23.625595 42.823244 73.726854 119.866872 191.811232
2025-03-02 5.259398 11.622160 22.848211 42.799794 75.727825 125.913217 205.565410
2025-03-09 4.760723 11.038759 22.502258 43.443095 78.798305 133.695736 222.225791
2025-03-16 4.195621 10.241412 21.689246 43.210927 80.412617 139.293514 235.805180
2025-03-23 3.983594 10.132411 22.116031 45.159311 85.728582 150.897240 259.060287
2025-03-30 3.610069 9.624964 21.737450 45.626684 88.553828 158.649568 276.604732
2025-04-06 3.082573 8.691194 20.428567 44.270810 88.134553 161.115117 285.864593
2025-04-13 2.609465 7.796595 19.088962 42.723269 87.244502 162.714789 293.736392
2025-04-20 2.493071 7.743141 19.475089 44.515091 92.414528 174.596052 318.697454
2025-04-27 2.534382 8.091776 20.742286 48.117177 101.048533 192.628631 354.323894
2025-05-04 2.436758 8.066393 21.193418 50.109574 106.798646 205.939970 382.537151
2025-05-11 2.222776 7.696496 20.844749 50.445826 109.460988 214.021739 402.264970